JeffCo Can Be “Flipped”!
Jefferson County has to be labeled a “blue” county with a surprising heavy influence of independents. We have to admit we were amazed at the strength of swing voters in the county.
The population of Jefferson County is 252,802.
Jefferson County registered voters for the 2012 cycle was 147,152 or nearly 60% of the population. For the 2012 cycle turnout was 61% or 89,273 votes casts. Straight-ticket voting is very tilted Democrat: 60% – 40%. The total number of straight-ticket votes cast in 2012 was 58,255. That means a full 35% of the vote in Jefferson County can be classified as swing or independent.
How do these electorate dynamics manifest in results? Obama-Biden won the county by a minuscule 1,426 votes! By contrast, in 2008 the Democrats had a 62%-38% edge in straight-ticket voting and Obama-Biden won the county by 1,983 votes! The GOP picked up 2% in straight-ticket voting over a 4-year cycle and only closed the presidential margin by 557 votes.
Dem senate candidate Sadler beat GOP candidate Ted Cruz 51%-45.5%. And, Dem congressional candidate Lampson beat GOP candidate Weber 58%-41%. The further down the ballot, the straight-ticket vote is making more of an impact.
What is the simple flip math and strategy? The African-American population in Jefferson County is 34.1% – by far the highest concentration of Blacks in the state. It’s the Black vote that is holding the Democratic Party together in the county. The strategy is to peel off a few percentage points from the African-American community and rely on the independents to keep leaning GOP at the top of the ballot and the combination will result in the “flip”.
RagingElephants.org feels that implementing our messaging campaigns in the county should result in the conversion of 10% of the Democrat straight-ticket voters which would secure the top-of-ballot races for the GOP.
We are asking our supporters to help us implement our messaging strategies in this mid-sized county. We wish to start with our famous (or, infamous) billboards. Our budget for the first month is $4,000. Please make a donation, today.
Thank you, in advance, for your support. We work hard to make you proud and get the results we need to see conservatives elected to public office.