Texas SD6 Special Election: Bray Runoff Scenario
The special election for Texas Senate District 6 presents the rare opportunity for a “blue” district to be flipped. With so much skepticism in abundance amongst the GOP power players, grassroots activists must be informed about the realistic chance for conservatives to be victorious in this campaign.
We would like for you to study these calculations. In the May 29th primary (an out-of-the-norm election day for Texas, to be sure), R.W. Bray, received 6,389 votes as an unopposed Republican on the ballot. However, the under vote for the district was 2,737. Thus, there was actually a total of 9,126 total GOP votes that came from senate district 6.
By contrast, in the Democrat primary, a still-very-alive Mario Gallegos tallied 10,495 votes as an unopposed incumbent. The under vote on his side of the ledger was 3,094. There were 13,589 total Democrat votes cast from SD6.
In the May 29th primary there were 22,715 total votes cast from SD6. 50% of that total vote would 11,358. The relevant comparison would be to expect that the turnout for this special election on a day stranger than May 29th (Saturday, January 26th) may look somewhat similar.
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While Bray’s primary total doesn’t equal 50% of the total votes cast from the district, the 13,589 votes for Gallegos would now be split numerous ways. There are 4 Democrats in this race meaning that the average candidate vote could be approximately 3,397.
Now Bray’s 9,126 total from May 29th takes on a different optimism. Turning out an energized GOP primary base could certainly mean a ticket to the next level – a runoff.
The Bray4Texas. com Campaign is in urgent need of volunteers and donors. You can phone bank from anywhere in the country. If you are in the Houston area, please consider being a poll worker – early voting has already commenced. Let’s make this happen
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